The upcoming UFC Macau card on May 30 features an intriguing bantamweight matchup between Song Yadong and Deiveson Figueiredo. This bout presents a compelling betting opportunity, pitting a rising contender against a former flyweight champion with significant market recognition. Early betting trends indicate a shift in favor of Song, setting the stage for a strategic debate focused on fighter form, stylistic matchups, and finishing potential.
Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Odds and Fighter Analysis
Song Yadong is positioned as the clear betting favorite for his UFC Macau main event clash against Deiveson Figueiredo. The betting lines have consistently moved in Song’s direction since opening, reflecting early investor confidence. Current odds place Song significantly ahead, with prices ranging from -550 to -590 across various sportsbooks. Conversely, Figueiredo is listed as an underdog, with odds falling between +390 and +410, indicating a considerable disparity in the perceived likelihood of victory.
Song’s advantages stem from his youth, consistent activity, and established presence in the bantamweight division. His official record stands at 22-9-1, while Figueiredo’s is 25-6-1. Song, younger and taller at 5’8″, holds a physical advantage over the 5’5″ Figueiredo. Despite a recent loss to Sean O’Malley in January, Song’s performance in that high-level, five-round bout remains a relevant factor. Prior to that, his victories over Henry Cejudo (by technical decision) and Chris Gutierrez, along with a win against Ricky Simon, demonstrate his capability to compete effectively against seasoned opponents over extended rounds. This recent track record significantly influences his favored status in the betting market.
Figueiredo remains a dangerous opponent, which explains why his odds, despite the market movement against him, are not longer. His elite finishing ability is a key attribute, boasting 9 wins by knockout and 9 by submission within his UFC career. This dual threat across striking and grappling keeps him a viable contender.
However, concerns arise from Figueiredo’s recent performances in the bantamweight division. He suffered a unanimous decision loss to Umar Nurmagomedov in January 2026 and has lost three of his last four bouts at 135 pounds. While these results don’t negate his inherent upside, they do present challenges when betting on him as an underdog against a dynamic and active contender like Song.
From a handicapping perspective, Song appears to be the more secure betting choice. Focusing on Song’s side of the market, rather than pursuing specific finish props at short odds, seems to be the most prudent strategy. Figueiredo’s finishing power represents a legitimate threat, but the current betting consensus suggests that Song’s pace and comfort within the bantamweight division offer a more reliable path to victory. Therefore, a prediction of Song winning by decision represents a workable outcome, with a straightforward outright win for Song being a more advisable bet than attempting to predict the method of victory at the current odds.